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Tariffs Could Wipe Out Main Street": Flexport CEO Sounds Alarm

The Small Business Apocalypse

In a viral X (Twitter) thread, Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen revealed:

• 35% weekly plunge in China-US shipments on Flexport¡¯s platform (industry-wide estimates: 50%)

• **1trillioneconomicexposure??¡ªequivalenttohalftheannualretailvalueofUSimportsfromChina(1trillioneconomicexposure??¡ªequivalenttohalftheannualretailvalueofUSimportsfromChina(600B imports ¡ú $2T retail sales)

• SMBs hardest hit: Most lack viable alternatives as manufacturers in Vietnam/elsewhere prioritize large orders, leaving small-batch producers stranded.

"When these brands go bankrupt, they¡¯ll be acquired by their Chinese factories¡ªcompleting China¡¯s control of the customer-facing supply chain."
¡ª Ryan Petersen

Why This Is a Ticking Time Bomb

1. Financial Domino Effect:

• SMBs operate on razor-thin margins, relying on inventory financing.

• Tariffs disrupt cash flow, forcing closures before alternative suppliers are found.

2. China¡¯s Vertical Integration:
   Failed US brands may be bought by Chinese manufacturers, granting them direct access to Western consumers¡ªa historic weak spot in China¡¯s export model.

3. Policy Paradox:
   Tariffs aimed at "protecting" US industry could accelerate Chinese dominance of high-value brand ownership.

Industry Backlash Grows

• US Fashion Industry: The AAFA warns of price hikes + job losses, with footwear tariffs already costing consumers $1.4B annually.

• Economic Tipping Point: Petersen predicts tariffs will be scrapped eventually¡ª"It¡¯s not if, but when."