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Tariffs Could Wipe Out Main Street": Flexport CEO Sounds Alarm

The Small Business Apocalypse

In a viral X (Twitter) thread, Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen revealed:

• 35% weekly plunge in China-US shipments on Flexport’s platform (industry-wide estimates: 50%)

• **1trillioneconomicexposure??—equivalenttohalftheannualretailvalueofUSimportsfromChina(1trillioneconomicexposure??—equivalenttohalftheannualretailvalueofUSimportsfromChina(600B imports → $2T retail sales)

• SMBs hardest hit: Most lack viable alternatives as manufacturers in Vietnam/elsewhere prioritize large orders, leaving small-batch producers stranded.

"When these brands go bankrupt, they’ll be acquired by their Chinese factories—completing China’s control of the customer-facing supply chain."
— Ryan Petersen

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Why This Is a Ticking Time Bomb

1. Financial Domino Effect:

• SMBs operate on razor-thin margins, relying on inventory financing.

• Tariffs disrupt cash flow, forcing closures before alternative suppliers are found.

2. China’s Vertical Integration:
   Failed US brands may be bought by Chinese manufacturers, granting them direct access to Western consumers—a historic weak spot in China’s export model.

3. Policy Paradox:
   Tariffs aimed at "protecting" US industry could accelerate Chinese dominance of high-value brand ownership.

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Industry Backlash Grows

• US Fashion Industry: The AAFA warns of price hikes + job losses, with footwear tariffs already costing consumers $1.4B annually.

• Economic Tipping Point: Petersen predicts tariffs will be scrapped eventually—"It’s not if, but when."