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Tariff Rush Drives Record June Cargo Volume at LA Port, With Steep Declines Expected Post-August

Publish Time: 2025-07-17     Origin: Site

Key Data & Trends

Record Volumes:

  • June 2025: 892,340 TEUs (7.8% YoY ↑)

    • Imports: 470,450 TEUs (+9.8%)

    • Exports: 126,000 TEUs (+3.0%)

    • Empty Containers: 296,000 TEUs (+7.0%)

  • FY2024–25: 10.5M TEUs (3rd straight year >10M TEUs)

Tariff Windfall:

  • June US Customs Revenue: $27B (+301% YoY)

  • FY2025 Total: $100B+ (first-ever) from "reciprocal tariffs"


Why the June Surge?

? Pre-Tariff Panic Buying:

  • Importers stocked up on holiday goods before August 1 deadlines for new tariffs:

    • 30% on EU/Mexico

    • 50% on Brazil

    • 35% on Canada

  • Small Importer Quote: "I feel stabbed by my own government"

What’s Next?:

  • July: Final surge (7 extra ships added)

  • August+: "Imports will plummet as retailers avoid overstocking" – Port of LA

  • Consumer Impact: Prices to rise in 3–6 weeks for non-essential goods


Global Fallout & Warnings

Trade Tensions Escalate:

  • Trump’s "tariff blasts" target 20+ nations, using duties as negotiation leverage.

  • Analyst Warning: "30% EU tariffs would cripple transatlantic trade" – Lars Jensen, Vespucci Maritime

Shipper Alert:

  • GSF Advisory: Ignore social media; verify tariffs via:

    1. U.S. Harmonized Tariff Schedule (official HS code updates)

    2. Federal Register (legal notices)


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